Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 22/09, 09:30
Prediction: Cian Maguire vs Toprak Avcibasi
Team pages: Cian Maguire · Toprak Avcibasi
Prediction summary
Winner
Cian Maguire
Toprak Avcibasi
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Cian Maguire
7-3 (W-L)
Toprak Avcibasi
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cian Maguire 1527 · Toprak Avcibasi 1378
| Cian Maguire | Toprak Avcibasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cian Maguire (rating 1527 vs 1378).
- Cian Maguire is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Toprak Avcibasi makes many double faults (10/match).
Statistics
| Cian Maguire | Toprak Avcibasi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.6 | 6.6-12.7 |
| Aces | – | 0 |
| Double faults | – | 10 |
| 1st serve % | – | 49.2% |
| Break % | – | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cian Maguire
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Filip Krolo UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Henry Dornbusch UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Daniel Bien UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 01/09 | Karel Froemel UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Phil Dungs UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/08 | Henry Bowden UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/08 | Sean Hodkin UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Euan Mcintosh UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Nicola Cigna UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Baltazar Wiger Nordas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Toprak Avcibasi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Steffan Van Weldam M15 Melilla |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Michiel de Krom M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Aaron Paul Samson M25 Oviedo |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Maximilian Figl M15 Malmo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sven Corbinais M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Amaan Siddiqui M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/02 | Pablo Aunion M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cian Maguire vs Toprak Avcibasi?
Our model gives 54% to Cian Maguire, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.