Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 22/09, 10:30
Prediction: Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova
Team pages: Lisa Zaar · Rebeka Masarova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lisa Zaar
Rebeka Masarova
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lisa Zaar
5-5 (W-L)
Rebeka Masarova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Zaar 1542 · Rebeka Masarova 1461
| Lisa Zaar | Rebeka Masarova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lisa Zaar (rating 1542 vs 1461).
- Lisa Zaar is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Rebeka Masarova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Lisa Zaar | Rebeka Masarova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-10.7 | 11.3-13 |
| Aces | 0 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 52.5% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Zaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Enola Chiesa WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Arianna Ovarelli WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Nikol Nuneva W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Katerina Tsygourova WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/08 | Giorgia Pedone W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Sofya Lansere W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Weronika Falkowska W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Rebeka Masarova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Mina Hodzic WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Simona Waltert WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Iryna Shymanovich US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Carole Monnet WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 08/07 | Francesca Curmi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Julia Grabher WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Jil Teichmann Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova?
Our model gives 55% to Rebeka Masarova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.