Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Michiel de Krom vs Pedro Rodenas
Team pages: Michiel de Krom · Pedro Rodenas
Prediction summary
Winner
Michiel de Krom
Pedro Rodenas
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michiel de Krom
4-6 (W-L)
Pedro Rodenas
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michiel de Krom
0–2
Pedro Rodenas
(2 last)
- 28 Nov0-2 10-13L
- 02 Sept0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michiel de Krom 1465 · Pedro Rodenas 1581
| Michiel de Krom | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Rodenas (rating 1465 vs 1581).
- Pedro Rodenas is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Michiel de Krom 0–2 Pedro Rodenas (2).
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Michiel de Krom | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.9 | 13.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Michiel de Krom 0 – 2 Pedro Rodenas (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michiel de Krom 0–2 Pedro Rodenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/25 M15 Madrid | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/09/25 M15 Madrid | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michiel de Krom
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Carles Rojas M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Richard Zusman M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Toprak Avcibasi M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Luke Bollinger M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Elijah Sanogo M25 Muttenz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Pedro Rodenas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Nikola Djukic Valera M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michiel de Krom vs Pedro Rodenas?
Our model gives 70% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.