Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Sander Jong vs Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Team pages: Sander Jong
Prediction summary
Winner
Sander Jong
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Sander Jong
8-2 (W-L)
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sander Jong 1625 · Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas 1398
| Sander Jong | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sander Jong (rating 1625 vs 1398).
- Sander Jong is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Sander Jong | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 0.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-5.2 | 6.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 45.2% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 28.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Carles Rojas M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Deney Wassermann M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/09 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Stan Put M15 Haren |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Pranav Karthik M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Santander |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Mikel Martinez M25 Santander |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 24/03 | Hugo Ruiz Rodriguez M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/02 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/02 | Benjamin Gusic Wan UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/02 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/02 | Fred Gil UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/02 | Pavel Lagutin UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sander Jong vs Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas?
Our model gives 87% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.