Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lilian Marmousez vs Matias Reyniak
Team pages: Lilian Marmousez · Matias Reyniak
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilian Marmousez
Matias Reyniak
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lilian Marmousez
6-4 (W-L)
Matias Reyniak
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilian Marmousez 1571 · Matias Reyniak 1469
| Lilian Marmousez | Matias Reyniak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lilian Marmousez (rating 1571 vs 1469).
- Lilian Marmousez is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lilian Marmousez | Matias Reyniak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-7.8 | 10.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 29.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilian Marmousez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Mate Valkusz M15 Budapest |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 12/09 | John Sperle M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 09/09 | Ben Weintraub M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Guillermo Tunas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Simon Pfau UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Amadatus Admiraal M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Aljaz Jeran M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Matias Reyniak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Carles Rojas M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alberto Garcia Garcia M15 Melilla |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lefteri Apostolou M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Mae Malige M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilian Marmousez vs Matias Reyniak?
Our model gives 79% to Lilian Marmousez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.