Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 23/09, 10:00

Prediction: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Bernardo Munk Mesa

Team pages: Oscar Jose Gutierrez · Bernardo Munk Mesa

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Oscar Jose Gutierrez Bernardo Munk Mesa
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Jose Gutierrez 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLL
Bernardo Munk Mesa 4-6 (W-L)
LLWWWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1437 · Bernardo Munk Mesa 1466
Oscar Jose GutierrezBernardo Munk Mesa
Our model46%54%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Bernardo Munk Mesa makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Oscar Jose GutierrezBernardo Munk Mesa
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.61.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.4-12.210.3-11
Aces1.95.3
Double faults3.85
1st serve %64.4%66.7%
Break %31.4%47.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
09/09 Juan Ignacio Gallego
M25 Gijon
1-2 16-18 L
08/09 Asier Meneses Perny
M25 Gijon
2-0 12-6 W
27/08 Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka
M15 Cap d'Agde
0-2 9-13 L
19/08 Carlos Sanchez Jover
M25 Santander
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Ivan Iutkin
M25 Santander
2-1 18-12 W
09/08 Tom Zeuch
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
02/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
24/07 Pedro Rodenas
M25 Denia
0-2 7-12 L
23/07 Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Denia
2-1 18-12 W

Bernardo Munk Mesa

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Mario Arce Fernandez
M25 Gijon
1-2 12-16 L
04/09 Ryan Nijboer
M15 Madrid
1-2 9-16 L
03/09 Juan Ignacio Gallego
M15 Madrid
2-1 18-12 W
02/09 Carles Cordoba
M15 Madrid
2-1 15-10 W
26/08 Pedro Vives Marcos
M25 Oviedo
0-2 7-13 L
24/08 Michiel de Krom
M25 Oviedo
2-0 12-8 W
19/08 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Santander
1-1 8-9 L
18/08 Yanaki Milev
M25 Santander
2-0 12-5 W
12/08 Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 6-13 L
29/07 Sergi Fita Juan
M15 Xativa
0-2 4-8 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Bernardo Munk Mesa?

Our model gives 52% to Bernardo Munk Mesa, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.