Tennis · M25 Sabadell · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Giustino vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Team pages: Lorenzo Giustino · Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Giustino
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Giustino
5-5 (W-L)
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Giustino 1532 · Enrique Carrascosa Diaz 1482
| Lorenzo Giustino | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Giustino (rating 1532 vs 1482).
- Note: Lorenzo Giustino makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Giustino | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.5 | 8.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 63% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 59% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Giustino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Grigor Dimitrov US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 18/08 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Federico Cina ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nico Hipfl ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Carles Hernandez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 25/08 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 02/07 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Max Benaim M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Pablo Perez Ramos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Giustino vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz?
Our model gives 73% to Lorenzo Giustino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.