Tennis · M25 Pardubice · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Petros Tsitsipas vs Oleksii Krutykh
Team pages: Petros Tsitsipas · Oleksii Krutykh
Prediction summary
Winner
Petros Tsitsipas
Oleksii Krutykh
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Petros Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Oleksii Krutykh
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petros Tsitsipas 1435 · Oleksii Krutykh 1538
| Petros Tsitsipas | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksii Krutykh (rating 1435 vs 1538).
- Oleksii Krutykh is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Petros Tsitsipas | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.9 | 11.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petros Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Maxence Rivet M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/09 | Arthur Nagel M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Maurice-Noel Kaserer M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Martins Rocens M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Oleksii Krutykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Melios Efstathiou Davis Cup |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Matias Soto Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petros Tsitsipas vs Oleksii Krutykh?
Our model gives 78% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.