Tennis · M15 Forbach · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Theo Herrmann vs Adan Freire Da Silva
Team pages: Theo Herrmann · Adan Freire Da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Theo Herrmann
Adan Freire Da Silva
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Theo Herrmann
5-5 (W-L)
Adan Freire Da Silva
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Theo Herrmann
0–1
Adan Freire Da Silva
(1 last)
- 23 Oct0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theo Herrmann 1485 · Adan Freire Da Silva 1440
| Theo Herrmann | Adan Freire Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Herrmann (rating 1485 vs 1440).
- Head-to-head: Theo Herrmann 0–1 Adan Freire Da Silva (1).
- Note: Theo Herrmann makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Theo Herrmann | Adan Freire Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-8.9 | 10.2-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 3 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Theo Herrmann 0 – 1 Adan Freire Da Silva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Theo Herrmann 0–1 Adan Freire Da Silva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/22 ITF M25 Sarreguemines | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theo Herrmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Pierre Delage M15 Strasbourg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Yannick Castelnuovo M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Julius Hacker M15 Strasbourg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Roman Sancilio M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Adan Freire Da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Thomas Faurel M25 Nevers |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Nikola Slavic M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Henri Haupt M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Tristan Berard M15 Strasbourg |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Segrate |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alessio Basile M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Lorenzo Balducci M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theo Herrmann vs Adan Freire Da Silva?
Our model gives 53% to Theo Herrmann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.