Tennis · M15 Forbach · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Calvin Mueller vs Fons Van Sambeek
Team pages: Calvin Mueller · Fons Van Sambeek
Prediction summary
Winner
Calvin Mueller
Fons Van Sambeek
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Mueller
8-2 (W-L)
Fons Van Sambeek
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calvin Mueller 1546 · Fons Van Sambeek 1453
| Calvin Mueller | Fons Van Sambeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvin Mueller (rating 1546 vs 1453).
- Calvin Mueller is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Fons Van Sambeek makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Calvin Mueller | Fons Van Sambeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.9 | 11.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calvin Mueller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Kacper Knitter M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Sebastian Tejerina M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 8-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Jannik Maute M15 Allershausen |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/08 | Jakub Filip M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Hazem Naw M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Stephan Iserath M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Masur M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Justin Schlageter M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Fons Van Sambeek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Rafael Giotis M15 Haren |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniel Verbeek M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Brian Bozemoj M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Rafael Giotis M15 Lambermont |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Pieter De Lange M15 Trier |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Mateus Alves Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Pieter De Lange M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Aristotelis Thanos M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calvin Mueller vs Fons Van Sambeek?
Our model gives 63% to Calvin Mueller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.