Tennis · M15 Forbach · 23/09, 10:00
Prediction: Arthur Nagel vs Remy Dugardin
Team pages: Arthur Nagel · Remy Dugardin
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Nagel
Remy Dugardin
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Nagel
8-2 (W-L)
Remy Dugardin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Nagel 1520 · Remy Dugardin 1484
| Arthur Nagel | Remy Dugardin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Arthur Nagel | Remy Dugardin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.5 | 9.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 35.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Nagel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Maximilian Figl M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/09 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniel Masur M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Jannik Maute M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Laurens Harnoth Manrubia M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Remy Dugardin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Louis Van Herck M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Jules Fabre M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Jeremy Condere M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Jack Loge M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Eupen |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Stijn Hofman M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Tim Handel M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/04 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Nagel vs Remy Dugardin?
Our model gives 65% to Arthur Nagel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.