Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 22/09, 09:00
Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Maxim Mrva
Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Maxim Mrva
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Mashtakov
Maxim Mrva
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov
7-3 (W-L)
Maxim Mrva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1578 · Maxim Mrva 1547
| Nikita Mashtakov | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maxim Mrva makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Nikita Mashtakov | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.2 | 11.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Pavlos Tsitsipas Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Alexander Weis Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Valentin Basel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
Maxim Mrva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Maxim Mrva?
Our model gives 61% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.