Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 24/09, 10:00
Prediction: Felix Gill vs Iliyan Radulov
Team pages: Felix Gill · Iliyan Radulov
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Gill
Iliyan Radulov
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Gill
7-3 (W-L)
Iliyan Radulov
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Felix Gill
1–0
Iliyan Radulov
(1 last)
- 28 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Gill 1523 · Iliyan Radulov 1428
| Felix Gill | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felix Gill (rating 1523 vs 1428).
- Felix Gill is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Felix Gill 1–0 Iliyan Radulov (1).
Statistics
| Felix Gill | Iliyan Radulov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.5 | 8.9-13.2 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Felix Gill 1 – 0 Iliyan Radulov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Felix Gill 1–0 Iliyan Radulov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/23 M25 Sabadell | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Gill
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Iliyan Radulov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Elmer Moller Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Holger Rune Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 24/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Gill vs Iliyan Radulov?
Our model gives 68% to Felix Gill, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.