Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 24/09, 09:00
Prediction: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Maxim Mrva
Team pages: Izan Almazan Valiente · Maxim Mrva
Prediction summary
Winner
Izan Almazan Valiente
Maxim Mrva
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Izan Almazan Valiente
9-1 (W-L)
Maxim Mrva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Izan Almazan Valiente 1595 · Maxim Mrva 1574
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maxim Mrva makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.1 | 12.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 64% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Izan Almazan Valiente
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Matteo Covato Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Maxim Mrva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Izan Almazan Valiente vs Maxim Mrva?
Our model gives 57% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.