Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 23/09, 11:30
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Team pages: Max Alcala Gurri · Carlos Sanchez Jover
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
6-4 (W-L)
Carlos Sanchez Jover
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Alcala Gurri
1–1
Carlos Sanchez Jover
(2 last)
- 18 Jun2-1 19-14W
- 21 Oct1-2 11-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1578 · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1534
| Max Alcala Gurri | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Alcala Gurri (rating 1578 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10 | 12.6-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Max Alcala Gurri 1 – 1 Carlos Sanchez Jover (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Alcala Gurri 1–1 Carlos Sanchez Jover
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Challenger Royan | 2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/10/21 ITF M15 Girona | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 10/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Carlos Sanchez Jover
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Sergi Fita Juan Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Santander |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Carles Cordoba M25 Santander |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Our model gives 64% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.