Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 22/09, 07:30

Prediction: Bernard Tomic vs Rigele Te

Team pages: Bernard Tomic · Rigele Te

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Bernard Tomic Rigele Te
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Bernard Tomic 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWLWWWL
Rigele Te 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bernard Tomic 1546 · Rigele Te 1547
Bernard TomicRigele Te
Our model50%50%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Rigele Te dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 45.2% break avg.

Statistics

Bernard TomicRigele Te
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-0.9
Games (G-P)12.7-11.111.1-9.6
Aces7.76.3
Double faults1.32.1
1st serve %75.6%78.1%
Break %34.6%45.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bernard Tomic

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Pavel Kotov
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
18/09 Alexandr Binda
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Jake Delaney
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/09 Yuta Kikuchi
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
10/09 Ilya Ivashka
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
08/09 Akira Santillan
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
03/09 Kasidit Samrej
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
01/09 Masamichi Imamura
Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
25/08 Lloyd Harris
US Open · Hard
1-2 11-17 L
13/08 Edward Winter
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 18-14 W

Rigele Te

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Casper Ruud
Davis Cup
0-2 7-13 L
07/09 Rio Noguchi
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/08 Tianhui Zhang
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
29/08 Chase Ferguson
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/08 Joshua Charlton
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
27/08 Xirui Han
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Ammar Faleh Alhogbani
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/08 Isaac Becroft
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/08 Daniil Sarksian
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
07/07 Oliver Crawford
M25 Roda de Bara
1-2 14-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bernard Tomic vs Rigele Te?

Our model gives 67% to Bernard Tomic, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.