Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 22/09, 06:00
Prediction: Taro Daniel vs Jake Delaney
Team pages: Taro Daniel · Jake Delaney
Prediction summary
Winner
Taro Daniel
Jake Delaney
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taro Daniel
8-2 (W-L)
Jake Delaney
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taro Daniel
2–0
Jake Delaney
(2 last)
- 17 Mar2-0 12-6W
- 02 Feb2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taro Daniel 1565 · Jake Delaney 1457
| Taro Daniel | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taro Daniel (rating 1565 vs 1457).
- Head-to-head: Taro Daniel 2–0 Jake Delaney (2).
Statistics
| Taro Daniel | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.6 | 10.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 3 | 10.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 49% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 51% · 1.90
H2H · Taro Daniel 2 – 0 Jake Delaney (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taro Daniel 2–0 Jake Delaney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Challenger Morelos | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/02/26 Challenger Brisbane | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taro Daniel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrew Johnson US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/08 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Duncan Chan Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Maxime St-Hilaire Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Jake Delaney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/09 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 01/09 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Jeremy Zhang M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/07 | Joshua Charlton M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taro Daniel vs Jake Delaney?
Our model gives 71% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.