Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 22/09, 09:00
Prediction: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova
Team pages: Fajing Sun · Matthew Dellavedova
Prediction summary
Winner
Fajing Sun
Matthew Dellavedova
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fajing Sun
4-6 (W-L)
Matthew Dellavedova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Fajing Sun
0–1
Matthew Dellavedova
(1 last)
- 01 Oct0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fajing Sun 1508 · Matthew Dellavedova 1529
| Fajing Sun | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Fajing Sun 0–1 Matthew Dellavedova (1).
Statistics
| Fajing Sun | Matthew Dellavedova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-13.2 | 10.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.2
Over 23.5: 42% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 58% · 1.80
H2H · Fajing Sun 0 – 1 Matthew Dellavedova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fajing Sun 0–1 Matthew Dellavedova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/22 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fajing Sun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/09 | Jie Cui Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Tung-Lin Wu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Zangar Nurlanuly Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Matthew Dellavedova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Taro Daniel Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tai Leonard Sach M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Keisuke Saitoh M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova?
Our model gives 55% to Fajing Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.