Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 22/09, 09:00
Prediction: Masamichi Imamura vs Rio Noguchi
Team pages: Masamichi Imamura · Rio Noguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Masamichi Imamura
Rio Noguchi
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Masamichi Imamura
4-6 (W-L)
Rio Noguchi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Masamichi Imamura 1502 · Rio Noguchi 1514
| Masamichi Imamura | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Masamichi Imamura | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9.4 | 11.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 71% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.5
Over 21.5: 47% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 53% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/08 | Shinji Hazawa M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Rio Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Rigele Te Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 24/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Masamichi Imamura vs Rio Noguchi?
Our model gives 58% to Rio Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.