Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 22/09, 07:30

Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Philip Sekulic

Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Philip Sekulic

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Dalibor Svrcina Philip Sekulic
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWWLWL
Philip Sekulic 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWWLWLL
Head-to-head
Dalibor Svrcina 1–0 Philip Sekulic (1 last)
  • 19 Feb2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1512 · Philip Sekulic 1476
Dalibor SvrcinaPhilip Sekulic
Our model55%45%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Dalibor Svrcina 1–0 Philip Sekulic (1).
  • Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (8.7/match).

Statistics

Dalibor SvrcinaPhilip Sekulic
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.51-1.6
Games (G-P)15.2-1510.3-13
Aces5.14.5
Double faults8.73.5
1st serve %65.7%56.5%
Break %46%29.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.8 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +5.3
Over 19.5: 82% · 1.90 Under 19.5: 18% · 1.80

H2H · Dalibor Svrcina 10 Philip Sekulic (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalibor Svrcina 10 Philip Sekulic

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DateSetsGamesRes.
19/02/24
Challenger Pune
2-012-7W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dalibor Svrcina

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Luciano Darderi
US Open · Hard
1-3 18-24 L
31/08 Valentin Royer
US Open · Hard
3-2 28-23 W
28/08 Mackenzie McDonald
US Open · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
26/08 Alexis Galarneau
US Open · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
24/08 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
19/08 Stan Wawrinka
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
13/08 Mark Lajal
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
01/08 Titouan Droguet
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
31/07 Denis Shapovalov
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Adam Walton
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-1 19-16 W

Philip Sekulic

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
16/09 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
15/09 Yuta Shimizu
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
11/09 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/09 Koki Matsuda
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-1 17-13 W
03/09 Sora Fukuda
M25 Urayasu
1-2 7-14 L
02/09 Yunseong Chung
M25 Urayasu
2-1 13-10 W
29/07 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Vancouver · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/07 Shintaro Mochizuki
Challenger Winnipeg · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
17/07 Murphy Cassone
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Philip Sekulic?

Our model gives 69% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.