Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 24/09, 06:00
Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Terence Atmane
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Terence Atmane
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Terence Atmane
Estimated games
25.5Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
7-3 (W-L)
Terence Atmane
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jaime Faria
0–1
Terence Atmane
(1 last)
- 14 Jul1-2 17-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1527 · Terence Atmane 1482
| Jaime Faria | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaime Faria (rating 1527 vs 1482).
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 46.1% break avg.
- Terence Atmane dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 41.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jaime Faria 0–1 Terence Atmane (1).
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.4 | 14.4-15.4 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 76.9% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5 · Bet365 line 23.5 · +2
Over 23.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 23.5: 36% · 1.83
H2H · Jaime Faria 0 – 1 Terence Atmane (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaime Faria 0–1 Terence Atmane
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/22 M25 Idanha-A-Nova | 1-2 | 17-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 11-22 | L |
| 30/08 | Jenson Brooksby US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Terence Atmane
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Jaume Munar US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 25-29 | L |
| 18/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Karen Khachanov ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Jack Draper ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Terence Atmane?
Our model gives 51% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.