Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 24/09, 06:00
Prediction: Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak
Team pages: Mattia Bellucci · Kamil Majchrzak
Prediction summary
Winner
Mattia Bellucci
Kamil Majchrzak
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mattia Bellucci
6-4 (W-L)
Kamil Majchrzak
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mattia Bellucci
1–0
Kamil Majchrzak
(1 last)
- 22 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mattia Bellucci 1483 · Kamil Majchrzak 1453
| Mattia Bellucci | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 40% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mattia Bellucci 1–0 Kamil Majchrzak (1).
Statistics
| Mattia Bellucci | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-13.3 | 12.7-14.3 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.83
H2H · Mattia Bellucci 1 – 0 Kamil Majchrzak (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mattia Bellucci 1–0 Kamil Majchrzak
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/24 US Open | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mattia Bellucci
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 2-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Kamil Majchrzak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | James Duckworth Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentin Vacherot US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 30/08 | Hamad Medjedovic US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tommy Paul ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Zachary Svajda Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 22-26 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mattia Bellucci vs Kamil Majchrzak?
Our model gives 54% to Kamil Majchrzak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.