Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 24/09, 06:00
Prediction: Bu Yunchaokete vs Michael Zheng
Team pages: Bu Yunchaokete · Michael Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Bu Yunchaokete
Michael Zheng
Estimated games
24.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Bu Yunchaokete
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Zheng
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bu Yunchaokete
1–1
Michael Zheng
(2 last)
- 04 Sept1-3 14-20L
- 24 Jul2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bu Yunchaokete 1504 · Michael Zheng 1568
| Bu Yunchaokete | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Zheng (rating 1504 vs 1568).
- Michael Zheng dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 46.8% break avg.
- Note: Bu Yunchaokete makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Bu Yunchaokete | Michael Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.8-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.4 | 14.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2
Over 22.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 36% · 1.83
H2H · Bu Yunchaokete 1 – 1 Michael Zheng (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bu Yunchaokete 1–1 Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/26 US Open | 1-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 24/07/24 Challenger Chicago | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bu Yunchaokete
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Michael Zheng US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 02/09 | Rafael Jodar US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Federico Cina US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Borna Gojo US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Rio Noguchi US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Francesco Maestrelli ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 18/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Michael Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/09 | Arthur Gea US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-26 | L |
| 04/09 | Bu Yunchaokete US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 20-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Fabian Marozsan US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ugo Humbert ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bu Yunchaokete vs Michael Zheng?
Our model gives 59% to Michael Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.