Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 24/09, 06:00
Prediction: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Team pages: Jie Cui · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Prediction summary
Winner
Jie Cui
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Estimated games
23Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jie Cui
6-4 (W-L)
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jie Cui 1486 · Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 1469
| Jie Cui | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 30% | 70% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Jie Cui | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.9 | 11-13.8 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.5
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 39% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jie Cui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | James Trotter Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Aziz Ouakaa Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 14/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Ignacio Buse Davis Cup |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 19/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/09 | Gael Monfils US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 9-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jie Cui vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?
Our model gives 60% to Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.