Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 24/09, 06:00
Prediction: Zhizhen Zhang vs Coleman Wong
Team pages: Zhizhen Zhang · Coleman Wong
Prediction summary
Winner
Zhizhen Zhang
Coleman Wong
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zhizhen Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Coleman Wong
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zhizhen Zhang
0–1
Coleman Wong
(1 last)
- 09 Mar1-2 10-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhizhen Zhang 1475 · Coleman Wong 1587
| Zhizhen Zhang | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1475 vs 1587).
- Head-to-head: Zhizhen Zhang 0–1 Coleman Wong (1).
- Note: Coleman Wong makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Zhizhen Zhang | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.8 | 12.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 77.5% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.90
H2H · Zhizhen Zhang 0 – 1 Coleman Wong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhizhen Zhang 0–1 Coleman Wong
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Challenger Cap Cana | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhizhen Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Henry Searle Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Jaime Faria Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Tommy Paul US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 27/08 | Dusan Lajovic US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Lukas Neumayer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Elmer Moller US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/08 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Otto Virtanen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Seong Chan Hong ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhizhen Zhang vs Coleman Wong?
Our model gives 65% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.