Tennis · ATP Hangzhou · 24/09, 06:00
Prediction: Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton
Team pages: Valentin Royer · Adam Walton
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Royer
Adam Walton
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Royer
4-6 (W-L)
Adam Walton
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Royer 1543 · Adam Walton 1472
| Valentin Royer | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentin Royer (rating 1543 vs 1472).
- Note: Valentin Royer makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Valentin Royer | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-11.9 | 13-13.2 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 69% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +2.1
Over 22.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 35% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Yibing Wu US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
| 25/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Jesper De Jong ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Justin Boulais ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Royer vs Adam Walton?
Our model gives 52% to Valentin Royer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.