Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 21/09, 18:00
Prediction: Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Team pages: Federica Urgesi · Oksana Selekhmeteva
Prediction summary
Winner
Federica Urgesi
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Urgesi
6-4 (W-L)
Oksana Selekhmeteva
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Urgesi 1500 · Oksana Selekhmeteva 1488
| Federica Urgesi | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Oksana Selekhmeteva makes many double faults (11.3/match).
Statistics
| Federica Urgesi | Oksana Selekhmeteva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.5 | 11-13 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 11.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Urgesi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Oceane Babel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Dalila Jakupovic W75 Bytom |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 05/08 | Martha Matoula W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Amelie Van Impe W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Barbora Palicova W75 Hechingen |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Nastasja Schunk WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Aoi Ito US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Capucine Jauffret WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Taylah Preston WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Mary Stoiana WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 11/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Urgesi vs Oksana Selekhmeteva?
Our model gives 56% to Oksana Selekhmeteva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.