Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Julia Grabher
Team pages: Jennifer Ruggeri · Julia Grabher
Prediction summary
Winner
Jennifer Ruggeri
Julia Grabher
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jennifer Ruggeri
4-6 (W-L)
Julia Grabher
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jennifer Ruggeri 1460 · Julia Grabher 1495
| Jennifer Ruggeri | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jennifer Ruggeri makes many double faults (9.6/match).
- Note: Julia Grabher makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Jennifer Ruggeri | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.7 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-14.9 | 10.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 9.6 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 62% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jennifer Ruggeri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Despina Papamichail WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Sofia Costoulas US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Amarissa Kiara Toth WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Julia Grabher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Sorana Cirstea US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Fiona Crawley WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 11/08 | Robin Montgomery WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Anna Siskova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Vivian Wolff W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jennifer Ruggeri vs Julia Grabher?
Our model gives 61% to Julia Grabher, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.