Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 21/09, 15:30
Prediction: Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Team pages: Polona Hercog · Leyre Romero Gormaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Polona Hercog
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Polona Hercog
4-6 (W-L)
Leyre Romero Gormaz
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polona Hercog 1485 · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1477
| Polona Hercog | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Leyre Romero Gormaz makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Polona Hercog | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.8 | 12.7-12 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 59.1% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polona Hercog
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Ayla Aksu W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/05 | Lucrezia Stefanini W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/05 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Miriana Tona W35 Platja d'Aro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Berfu Cengiz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 25/08 | Joanna Garland US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polona Hercog vs Leyre Romero Gormaz?
Our model gives 55% to Leyre Romero Gormaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.