Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 21/09, 13:00
Prediction: Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus
Team pages: Mia Ristic · Arantxa Rus
Prediction summary
Winner
Mia Ristic
Arantxa Rus
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mia Ristic
5-5 (W-L)
Arantxa Rus
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Ristic 1533 · Arantxa Rus 1521
| Mia Ristic | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mia Ristic | Arantxa Rus | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.7 | 12.3-12 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 65% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Ristic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Martina Colmegna WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Francisca Jorge US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/08 | Ayana Akli US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Rositsa Dencheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/08 | Matilde Paoletti W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Arantxa Rus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Leolia Jeanjean US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Susan Bandecchi US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Teodora Kostovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Britt Du Pree W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Anna Kubareva W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Ristic vs Arantxa Rus?
Our model gives 55% to Mia Ristic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.