Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 21/09, 20:00
Prediction: Laura Samsonova vs Noemi Basiletti
Team pages: Laura Samsonova · Noemi Basiletti
Prediction summary
Winner
Laura Samsonova
Noemi Basiletti
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Laura Samsonova
6-4 (W-L)
Noemi Basiletti
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laura Samsonova 1578 · Noemi Basiletti 1576
| Laura Samsonova | Noemi Basiletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Laura Samsonova | Noemi Basiletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-10.5 | 11.1-9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 60.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laura Samsonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Mia Ristic WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Alesia Breaz WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Noemi Basiletti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Ekaterine Gorgodze WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Barbora Palicova W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/08 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Martha Matoula W75 Koksijde |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Jenny Lim W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Marie Weckerle W75 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Fiona Ferro W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laura Samsonova vs Noemi Basiletti?
Our model gives 62% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.