Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Marta Lombardini
Team pages: Aurora Zantedeschi · Marta Lombardini
Prediction summary
Winner
Aurora Zantedeschi
Marta Lombardini
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora Zantedeschi
3-7 (W-L)
Marta Lombardini
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aurora Zantedeschi 1493 · Marta Lombardini 1578
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Marta Lombardini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marta Lombardini (rating 1493 vs 1578).
- Marta Lombardini is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aurora Zantedeschi | Marta Lombardini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10 | 12.3-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.1% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 54.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora Zantedeschi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Sofya Lansere WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Fiona Ferro W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Amandine Monnot W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Ida Wobker W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Marta Lombardini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Ilary Pistola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/09 | Valentina Steiner W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Enola Chiesa W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/09 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Angelica Raggi W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/09 | Sveva Sveva Fumagalli W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Noemi Maines W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Sara Milanese W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora Zantedeschi vs Marta Lombardini?
Our model gives 51% to Marta Lombardini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.