Tennis · M15 Forbach · 21/09, 14:00
Prediction: Louis Van Herck vs Alberto Morolli
Team pages: Louis Van Herck · Alberto Morolli
Prediction summary
Winner
Louis Van Herck
Alberto Morolli
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Louis Van Herck
7-3 (W-L)
Alberto Morolli
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Louis Van Herck 1511 · Alberto Morolli 1458
| Louis Van Herck | Alberto Morolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Louis Van Herck (rating 1511 vs 1458).
Statistics
| Louis Van Herck | Alberto Morolli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.3 | 8-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Louis Van Herck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Fabian Marozsan Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Remy Dugardin M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alex Kobelt M25 Plaisir |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 07/09 | Yannis Batsabaken M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Tsiry Rabetrano M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Allershausen |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Emil Rast M15 Allershausen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Tim Hammes M15 Lambermont |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Mats Egbring M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alberto Morolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Pietro Mugelli M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Evan Galea M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 01/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Yassine Smiej M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Rohan Mehra M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Akshaj Subramanian M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/07 | Davide Tortora M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Adriano Botta M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabrielius Guzauskas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Louis Van Herck vs Alberto Morolli?
Our model gives 68% to Louis Van Herck, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.