Tennis · M15 Forbach · 21/09, 12:30
Prediction: Gray Voelzke vs Lars Wagenaar
Team pages: Gray Voelzke · Lars Wagenaar
Prediction summary
Winner
Gray Voelzke
Lars Wagenaar
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gray Voelzke
1-9 (W-L)
Lars Wagenaar
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gray Voelzke 1404 · Lars Wagenaar 1455
| Gray Voelzke | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lars Wagenaar (rating 1404 vs 1455).
- Lars Wagenaar is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Gray Voelzke makes many double faults (7/match).
- Note: Lars Wagenaar makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Gray Voelzke | Lars Wagenaar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-13.4 | 8.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 7 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 28% | 35.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gray Voelzke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Stian Klaassen M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Batiste Guerra M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Yuya Hirose M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 24/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Jake Dembo M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Udit Kamboj M15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lars Wagenaar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Batiste Guerra M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Dax Donders M15 Haren |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Noah Thurner M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Idriss Haddouch M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Sep De Visser M25 Koksijde |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Peetu Pohjola M15 Uslar |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Abel Forger M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Marc Majdandzic M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Timo De Visser M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Ahaus · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gray Voelzke vs Lars Wagenaar?
Our model gives 60% to Lars Wagenaar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.