Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 21/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lisa Zaar vs Enola Chiesa
Team pages: Lisa Zaar · Enola Chiesa
Prediction summary
Winner
Lisa Zaar
Enola Chiesa
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lisa Zaar
5-5 (W-L)
Enola Chiesa
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Zaar 1523 · Enola Chiesa 1574
| Lisa Zaar | Enola Chiesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Enola Chiesa (rating 1523 vs 1574).
Statistics
| Lisa Zaar | Enola Chiesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-10.6 | 13.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Zaar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Arianna Ovarelli WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Elena Korokozidi W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Nikol Nuneva W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Katerina Tsygourova WTA Montreux · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 22/08 | Rada Zolotareva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/08 | Giorgia Pedone W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Sofya Lansere W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Weronika Falkowska W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Mia Ristic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Sofya Lansere W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Enola Chiesa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Alja Senica WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Marta Lombardini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Anna Kmiecik W15 Radom |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Anna Dvorackova W15 Radom |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Aleksandra Janiszewska W15 Radom |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Karolina Mrazikova W15 Pecs |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Franziska Sziedat W15 Pecs |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Anika Jaskova W15 Pecs |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/09 | Greta Nemcsek W15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Tamara Sramkova W15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Zaar vs Enola Chiesa?
Our model gives 63% to Lisa Zaar, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.