Tennis · WTA Tolentino · 22/09, 15:30
Prediction: Julie Struplova vs Samira De Stefano
Team pages: Julie Struplova · Samira De Stefano
Prediction summary
Winner
Julie Struplova
Samira De Stefano
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Julie Struplova
4-6 (W-L)
Samira De Stefano
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Julie Struplova
1–0
Samira De Stefano
(1 last)
- 09 Oct2-0 11-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julie Struplova 1493 · Samira De Stefano 1629
| Julie Struplova | Samira De Stefano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Samira De Stefano (rating 1493 vs 1629).
- Samira De Stefano is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Julie Struplova 1–0 Samira De Stefano (1).
Statistics
| Julie Struplova | Samira De Stefano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.5 | 12.6-8.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Julie Struplova 1 – 0 Samira De Stefano (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Julie Struplova 1–0 Samira De Stefano
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/25 W35 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 11-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julie Struplova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Polona Hercog WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Polina Iatcenko US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alice Rame WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Radka Zelnickova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Carolina Kuhl W75 Olomouc |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Julie Pastikova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Samira De Stefano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Laura Samsonova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 18/09 | Alice Tubello WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/09 | Barbora Palicova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Arantxa Rus WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Eva Vedder WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/09 | Adrienn Nagy WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Anja Stankovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/08 | Maria Golovina W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julie Struplova vs Samira De Stefano?
Our model gives 70% to Samira De Stefano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.