Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 22/09, 09:00
Prediction: Maxime Chazal vs Joel Schwaerzler
Team pages: Maxime Chazal · Joel Schwaerzler
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxime Chazal
Joel Schwaerzler
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Maxime Chazal
7-3 (W-L)
Joel Schwaerzler
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Chazal 1551 · Joel Schwaerzler 1525
| Maxime Chazal | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maxime Chazal | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-7.8 | 12.8-13.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 27.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/08 | Liam Branger M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/08 | Daniel Bagnolini M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Filip Malis M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Joel Schwaerzler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Max Basing Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Gustavo Heide US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Chazal vs Joel Schwaerzler?
Our model gives 56% to Joel Schwaerzler, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.