Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 22/09, 09:00
Prediction: Felix Gill vs Alexander Vasilev
Team pages: Felix Gill · Alexander Vasilev
Prediction summary
Winner
Felix Gill
Alexander Vasilev
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Felix Gill
7-3 (W-L)
Alexander Vasilev
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felix Gill 1500 · Alexander Vasilev 1478
| Felix Gill | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexander Vasilev makes many double faults (7.1/match).
Statistics
| Felix Gill | Alexander Vasilev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.9 | 9.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 7.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 34.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felix Gill
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Alexander Vasilev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Clement Chidekh M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Luc Fomba M25 Plaisir |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Herve Antchandie M25 Plaisir |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Marat Sharipov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/08 | George Lazarov M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Mihailo Savic M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 19/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felix Gill vs Alexander Vasilev?
Our model gives 66% to Felix Gill, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.