Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 22/09, 09:00
Prediction: Carlos Taberner vs Petr Nesterov
Team pages: Carlos Taberner · Petr Nesterov
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Taberner
Petr Nesterov
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Taberner
2-8 (W-L)
Petr Nesterov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Taberner 1462 · Petr Nesterov 1542
| Carlos Taberner | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petr Nesterov (rating 1462 vs 1542).
- Petr Nesterov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Carlos Taberner makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Carlos Taberner | Petr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.4 | 13.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Taberner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Zizou Bergs US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 13-21 | L |
| 11/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Marko Topo Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/01 | Lorenzo Sonego Australian Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 11/01 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Adelaide · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Petr Nesterov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Sebastian Sorger Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Eero Vasa M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Karl Friberg M25 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Taberner vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model gives 54% to Carlos Taberner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.