Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 22/09, 09:00
Prediction: Michael Geerts vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Team pages: Michael Geerts · Carlos Sanchez Jover
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Geerts
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Geerts
7-3 (W-L)
Carlos Sanchez Jover
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michael Geerts
0–1
Carlos Sanchez Jover
(1 last)
- 28 Mar0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Geerts 1491 · Carlos Sanchez Jover 1548
| Michael Geerts | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Sanchez Jover (rating 1491 vs 1548).
- Head-to-head: Michael Geerts 0–1 Carlos Sanchez Jover (1).
Statistics
| Michael Geerts | Carlos Sanchez Jover | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.9 | 12-9.3 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 65% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Michael Geerts 0 – 1 Carlos Sanchez Jover (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michael Geerts 0–1 Carlos Sanchez Jover
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/21 Challenger Marbella | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Geerts
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 19/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Billy Blaydes Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Lars Goran Verwerft M25 Koksijde |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Robert M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M25 Koksijde |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Carlos Sanchez Jover
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Sergi Fita Juan Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Santander |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Santander |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Carles Cordoba M25 Santander |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Geerts vs Carlos Sanchez Jover?
Our model gives 63% to Carlos Sanchez Jover, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.