Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 20/09, 13:30
Prediction: Alexander Weis vs Nikita Mashtakov
Team pages: Alexander Weis · Nikita Mashtakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Weis
Nikita Mashtakov
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Weis
6-4 (W-L)
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Weis 1513 · Nikita Mashtakov 1532
| Alexander Weis | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alexander Weis | Nikita Mashtakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.9 | 12.7-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 62% |
| Break % | 60.8% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Weis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Adrien Burdet M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 26/08 | Oscar Blardone M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Pierluigi Basile M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Giovanni Oradini M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/08 | Kasra Rahmani M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Niccolo Catini M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Valentin Basel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Zeuch M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Weis vs Nikita Mashtakov?
Our model gives 52% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.