Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 20/09, 09:00

Prediction: Ryo Tabata vs Svyatoslav Gulin

Team pages: Ryo Tabata · Svyatoslav Gulin

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Ryo Tabata Svyatoslav Gulin
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ryo Tabata 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLWW
Svyatoslav Gulin 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ryo Tabata 1511 · Svyatoslav Gulin 1527
Ryo TabataSvyatoslav Gulin
Our model48%52%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ryo TabataSvyatoslav Gulin
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11.4-0.9
Games (G-P)9.7-9.711.5-11.2
Aces1.46.4
Double faults2.71.6
1st serve %58.2%73.5%
Break %44%27.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ryo Tabata

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Adrian Andreev
M25 Zlatibor
1-2 8-12 L
17/09 Kalin Ivanovski
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 11-7 W
07/08 Egor Pleshivtsev
M15 Astana
1-2 18-19 L
04/08 Danial Rakhmatullayev
M15 Astana
2-0 12-4 W
30/07 Amir Omarkhanov
M15 Astana
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Adrian Oetzbach
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
01/07 Lucca C Pignaton
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Edward Etty
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
17/06 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Svyatoslav Gulin

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/09 Lukas Neumayer
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/09 Andrej Martin
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
06/09 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
31/08 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Como · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
30/08 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 13-12 W
26/08 Martin Krumich
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
25/08 Henri Haupt
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
24/08 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
23/08 Peter Fajta
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
16/08 Jakub Paul
Challenger Prague · Clay
1-2 11-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ryo Tabata vs Svyatoslav Gulin?

Our model gives 66% to Svyatoslav Gulin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.