Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 20/09, 10:30

Prediction: George Lazarov vs Adrian Oetzbach

Team pages: George Lazarov · Adrian Oetzbach

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
George Lazarov Adrian Oetzbach
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
George Lazarov 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLLWLL
Adrian Oetzbach 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · George Lazarov 1502 · Adrian Oetzbach 1569
George LazarovAdrian Oetzbach
Our model40%60%
Market49%51%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Oetzbach (rating 1502 vs 1569).

Statistics

George LazarovAdrian Oetzbach
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.5-0.7
Games (G-P)9.3-9.612-10.3
Aces1.52.6
Double faults2.32.5
1st serve %62.6%67.7%
Break %43.5%50.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

George Lazarov

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Alexandre Aubriot
M25 Zlatibor
0-2 5-12 L
18/09 Dusan Obradovic
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 13-13 W
17/09 Mak Mikovic
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 13-7 W
31/08 Ognjen Milic
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
28/08 Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
27/08 Aleksa Oparnica
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
26/08 Marko Nikolic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-1 9-6 W
13/08 Alexander Vasilev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-1 1-6 L
12/08 Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
07/08 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Adrian Oetzbach

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/09 Pierluigi Basile
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
06/09 Eero Vasa
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 12-3 W
05/09 Bruno Fernandez
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 13-9 W
04/09 Lucio Ratti
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 14-11 W
03/09 Marc Majdandzic
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 13-9 W
02/09 Marcel Hornung
M25 Meerbusch
2-0 12-4 W
20/08 Tim Handel
M25 Ueberlingen
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Manuel Plunger
M25 Ueberlingen
2-1 18-16 W
14/08 Liam Gavrielides
M15 Trier
1-2 14-19 L
13/08 Thiago Cigarran
M15 Trier
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in George Lazarov vs Adrian Oetzbach?

Our model gives 55% to Adrian Oetzbach, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.