Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 20/09, 10:30
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Rares Teodor Pieleanu
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Rares Teodor Pieleanu
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
8-2 (W-L)
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1564 · Rares Teodor Pieleanu 1542
| Pavel Lagutin | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Rares Teodor Pieleanu makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8.6 | 11-8.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 64% |
| Break % | 50% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Matthieu Roehrich Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 07/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Rares Teodor Pieleanu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Stefan Popovic M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Leo Lagarrigue M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Gabriel Sardo M15 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Dragos Nicolae Madaras M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/08 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Rares Teodor Pieleanu?
Our model gives 70% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.