Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 20/09, 15:30
Prediction: Tiago Pereira vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Tiago Pereira · Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Tiago Pereira
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Tiago Pereira
4-6 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tiago Pereira 1506 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1462
| Tiago Pereira | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tiago Pereira (rating 1506 vs 1462).
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Tiago Pereira | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-14.4 | 11.9-13.5 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tiago Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Filip Pieczonka Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/09 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/09 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/09 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Niccolo Catini M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Niccolo Catini M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Matyas Kozlovsky M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Dino Molokova Ferreira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Arda Azkara M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tiago Pereira vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 73% to Tiago Pereira, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.