Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 19/09, 23:30

Prediction: Matei Gavrea vs Luca Ostovany

Team pages: Matei Gavrea · Luca Ostovany

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Matei Gavrea Luca Ostovany
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Matei Gavrea 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLWWWWL
Luca Ostovany 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Matei Gavrea 1533 · Luca Ostovany 1501
Matei GavreaLuca Ostovany
Our model55%45%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Matei GavreaLuca Ostovany
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.81.2-1.2
Games (G-P)10.1-8.110.2-10.8
Aces1.11.3
Double faults2.42.1
1st serve %60%63.4%
Break %54.9%57.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Matei Gavrea

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Zach Stephens
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
15/09 Rithvik Katpelly
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
14/09 James Lorenzetti
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/08 Mason Bui
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/08 Siddharth Bharadwaj
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
29/08 Constantinos Djakouris
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
26/08 Pavel Bushuev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
26/08 Andrew Gordon
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/08 Ivan Savkin
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
12/07 Arsene Pougault
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Luca Ostovany

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Bautista Durrels Rojo
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
17/09 Siddharth Bharadwaj
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
16/09 Pablo Robledo Hoyos
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/09 Pavel Bushuev
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/08 Mario Garcia
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 7-14 L
30/08 Mason Tran
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
28/08 Cayden Wang
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
1-2 11-16 L
27/08 Marco Alvarez
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
23/11 Andre Alcantara
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/11 Artem Khrapko
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Matei Gavrea vs Luca Ostovany?

Our model gives 65% to Matei Gavrea, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.