Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 29/09, 03:30
Prediction: Luca Ostovany vs Jan Kobierski
Team pages: Luca Ostovany · Jan Kobierski
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Ostovany
Jan Kobierski
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Ostovany
6-4 (W-L)
Jan Kobierski
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Ostovany 1486 · Jan Kobierski 1423
| Luca Ostovany | Jan Kobierski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Ostovany (rating 1486 vs 1423).
Statistics
| Luca Ostovany | Jan Kobierski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.1 | 8.9-13.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 56% | 32% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Ostovany
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Bautista Durrels Rojo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Pablo Robledo Hoyos UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Mario Garcia UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 30/08 | Mason Tran UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/08 | Cayden Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Marco Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/11 | Andre Alcantara UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Jan Kobierski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Wels |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | David Naharro M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Aditya Govila UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/12 | Stiles Brockett UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 27/12 | Adrian Treacy UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Clement Lemire UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Ethan Muza UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/10 | Nicolas Oliveira UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Ostovany vs Jan Kobierski?
Our model gives 58% to Jan Kobierski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.