Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 28/09, 20:00
Prediction: Marco Alvarez vs Jacob Brumm
Team pages: Marco Alvarez · Jacob Brumm
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Alvarez
Jacob Brumm
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Alvarez
5-5 (W-L)
Jacob Brumm
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Alvarez
0–3
Jacob Brumm
(3 last)
- 11 Dec1-2 14-17L
- 20 Nov0-2 8-13L
- 12 Nov0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Alvarez 1537 · Jacob Brumm 1510
| Marco Alvarez | Jacob Brumm | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marco Alvarez 0–3 Jacob Brumm (3).
Statistics
| Marco Alvarez | Jacob Brumm | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-8.8 | 10.5-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 50.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Marco Alvarez 0 – 3 Jacob Brumm (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Alvarez 0–3 Jacob Brumm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/24 M15 Huamantla | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/11/24 M15 Huamantla | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/11/24 ITF M15 Morelia | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Alvarez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Mihnea Maftei UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Victor Castro UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Sohrob Amiryavari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Charlie Underwood UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Jacob Brumm
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Liam Oliver UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/09 | Gregory Gamal UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Cesar Cruz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Cassius Chinlund UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 27/08 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Carson Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Holland Snell UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Alvarez vs Jacob Brumm?
Our model gives 60% to Jacob Brumm, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.