Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 29/09, 20:00
Prediction: Marco Alvarez vs Gianluca Brunkow
Team pages: Marco Alvarez
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Alvarez
Gianluca Brunkow
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Alvarez
5-5 (W-L)
Gianluca Brunkow
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Alvarez 1560 · Gianluca Brunkow 1575
| Marco Alvarez | Gianluca Brunkow | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Marco Alvarez | Gianluca Brunkow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.9 | 11.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 20/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/09 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Mihnea Maftei UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Victor Castro UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Ivan Savkin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Sohrob Amiryavari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Gianluca Brunkow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Diego Herrera UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Blaise Bicknell M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/03 | Michael Antonius M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/03 | Daniil Kakhniuk M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/03 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/03 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/03 | Lucca Liu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/03 | William Zhang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/03 | Jack Karlsson Winstrand UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/03 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Alvarez vs Gianluca Brunkow?
Our model gives 72% to Gianluca Brunkow, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.