Tennis · Challenger Phan Thiet · 19/09, 06:30

Prediction: Moise Kouame vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Team pages: Moise Kouame · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Prediction summary
Winner
48% 52%
Moise Kouame Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Moise Kouame 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWLLWWW
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moise Kouame 1500 · Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 1569
Moise KouameRodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Our model40%60%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez (rating 1500 vs 1569).
  • Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Moise Kouame makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Moise KouameRodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (8) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.5-0.6
Games (G-P)11.3-10.411.3-8.9
Aces5.44.8
Double faults4.11.8
1st serve %71.6%75.3%
Break %32%39.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moise Kouame

LLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Florent Bax
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
15/09 Ryuki Matsuda
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/09 Kenta Miyoshi
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
25/08 Nishesh Basavareddy
US Open · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
22/08 Moez Echargui
Challenger Cancun · Hard
1-2 16-15 L
21/08 Roman Andres Burruchaga
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/08 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
29/07 Edward Winter
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/07 Nuno Borges
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/09 Philip Sekulic
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
16/09 Arthur Weber
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/09 Sergio Callejon Hernando
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
08/09 Max Purcell
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/08 Andy Andrade
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
27/08 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Paul Jubb
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
21/08 Sebastian Baez
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/08 Tomas Barrios Vera
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moise Kouame vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez?

Our model gives 52% to Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.